Safe City

Safe City

Spatial Analysis of Physical Resilience of Neighborhood Patterns using Moran Technique (Case Study: Zanjan Neighborhoods)

Authors
Mandana. Kamali 1
Manouchehr Tabibian 2
Masoud Elahi 3
1 PhD student in Urban Planning, Department of Urban Planning, Faculty of Architecture and Urban Planning, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran
2 PhD in Urban Planning, Professor, Department of Urban Planning, Faculty of Urban Planning, Fine Arts Campus, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
3 PhD in Urban Planning, Assistant Professor, Department of Urban Planning, Faculty of Architecture and Urban Planning, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran
10.22034/ispdrc.2021.699914
Abstract
Over the past few decades, the rapid growth of cities has led to increasing attention to
their vulnerability to crises. Therefore, resilience of city components, the smallest unit
of which is the neighborhood, is of great importance. One of the natural resource crises
is earthquake, which, while unpredictable, can reduce the potential consequences by
using the existing capacities in the neighborhoods and speed up the time to return to the
pre-accident state.The aim of present research which has done with a descriptive-analytical method is
measuring the resilience of three neighborhoods in Zanjan each of which has different
formation patterns. The physical indicators of resilience are extracted by content
analysis and after weighting and ranking, entered the GIS and by local and global
Moran analysis, the type of resilience dispersion in target areas and optimized hot and
cold spots were determined. Also, the output maps of this analysis show high-risk and
low-risk points in terms of neighborhood resilience.The results indicate that the population density index is the most important in order toachieve physical resilience to earthquakes and the index of access to public
transportation is the least important; in addition, neighborhoods with land preparation
pattern have the most resilience and neighborhoods with rationalist pattern have the
least resilience. 
Keywords
Physical resilience
Zanjan neighborhoods
Moran analysis
Earthquake
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