نشریه علمی شهر ایمن

نشریه علمی شهر ایمن

ارزیابی و تحلیل ریسک شریان های حیاتی با رویکرد پدافند غیرعامل (نمونه موردی: بندر امیرآباد)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 کارشناسی ارشد برنامه ریزی شهری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی قزوین، ایران
2 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد طراحی شهری، دانشگاه بوعلی سینا، همدان، ایران
3 دانشگاه پردیس البرز دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
چکیده
هدف از اجرای طرح‌های پدافند غیرعامل کاستن آسیب‌پذیری شریان‌های حیاتی و دارایی‌های کلیدی در شرایط بحرانی ناشی از تهدیدات انسان ساخت است. شریان‌های حیاتی، بخشی از بنیان‌های اصلی هر شهر و جامعه به شمار می‌آیند که با آسیب آن‌ها بیشتر منطقه تحت تأثیر قرار می گیرد. هدف از تحقیق حاضر ارزیابی ریسک دارایی‌های کلیدی بندر امیرآباد در استان مازندران در برابر تهدیدات انسان‌ساخت سخت می‌باشد بندر امیرآباد جزو بنادر چندمنظوره و اصلی سطح دو کشور محسوب می‌شود و طبق پیش‌بینی طرح جامع بنادر بازرگانی ایران، به بندر اصلی سطح یک تبدیل خواهد شد. پژوهش از نوع کاربردی و روش تحقیق، توصیفی- تحلیلی می‌باشد. از روش‌های اسنادی (کتابخانه‌ای) و مشاهده و پرسشنامه برای گردآوری داده‌ها و اطلاعات استفاده گردیده و جهت تعیین حجم نمونه با استفاده از فرمول کوکران تعداد 48 نفر انتخاب شدند. روش تجزیه و تحلیل اطلاعات روش ارزیابی ریسک API780 (انجمن نفت آمریکا) می‌باشد. نتایج تحقیق نشان می‌دهد دارایی‌های اسکله‌های تجاری و خدمات شرقی و غربی، اسکله رورو، کانال ورودی و دهانه کانال، حوضچه کانال، پست برق، نیروگاه گازی ماهتاب گستر، تأسیسات صنایع فعال، مرکز کنترل و ترافیک دریایی (برج کنترل) و انبار کالاهای خطرناک و جرثقیل‌ها از میزان ریسک بالا (عدد 4 و 5) در برابر تهدیدات سخت برخوردار می‌باشد و در پایان نیز میزان تأثیر راهکارها در میزان کاهش ریسک دارایی‌های کلیدی مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفته و ریسک مورد بازنگری قرار گرفت.
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Risk Assessment and Analysis of Lifelines with Passive Defense Approach (Case Study: Amirabad Port)

نویسندگان English

Horiya Gholampour 1
Seyyed Subhan Alwani 2
Mona Fallah 3
1 M.Sc. Graduate of Urban Planning, Qazvin Islamic Azad University, Iran
2 M.Sc. Student of Urban Design, Boali-Sina University, Hamadan, Iran
3 M.Sc. Student of Urban Planning, Alborz Campus of Tehran University, Iran
چکیده English

The purpose of implementing passive defense plans is to reduce the vulnerability of lifelines and key
assets in critical situations caused by man-made threats. Lifelines are part of the main foundations of
every city and society, and their damage affects most of the system. The purpose of this research is to
assess the risk of key assets of Amirabad port in Mazandaran province against hard man-made threats.
Amirabad port is one of the multi-purpose and important of level two, and according to the forecast of the
comprehensive plan of Iran's commercial ports, it will become the level one port. The research is applied
and the research method is descriptive-analytical. Documentation (library) and observation and
questionnaire methods were used to collect data and information. Hence in order to determine the sample
size, 48 people were selected using Cochran's formula. The data analysis method is API 780 (American
Petroleum Institute) risk assessment method. The results of the research show that the assets of eastern
and western commercial and service wharves, Roro wharf, entrance channel and channel opening, canal
pond, electric substation, Mahtab Gostar gas power plant, active industries facilities, maritime traffic and
control center (control tower) and the warehouse of dangerous goods and cranes has a high level of risk
against severe threats. At the end, the impact of the solutions in reducing the risk of key assets was
evaluated and the risk was reviewed. 

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Risk
Lifelines
Hard man-made threat
Passive defense
Amirabad port
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